Wiesn Weather Oracle
15 years of Munich weather data reveal the best days to visit Oktoberfest. Plan smarter with historical rain probability, temperature trends, and packing tips.
Key Statistics
Only 28% chance of rain on opening day
Average temperature range
12-16°C across the festival
Daily sunshine
4-6.5 hours average
Day-by-Day Forecast (Historical Averages)
Temperature Trend Across 16 Days
Rain Probability by Day
Best Day to Go
Based on 15 years of data, the first weekend (Sep 20-21) offers the best combination of warm weather and low rain probability.
Temp
16.2°C
Rain
28%
Sun
6.5 hrs
Year-by-Year Weather History
| Year | Temp | rainy days | Verdict |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2010 | 10.5°C | 8/ 16 | Cold & Rainy |
| 2011 | 17.3°C | 3/ 16 | Excellent |
| 2012 | 13.8°C | 6/ 16 | Mixed |
| 2013 | 15.1°C | 5/ 16 | Good |
| 2014 | 16.2°C | 4/ 16 | Great |
| 2015 | 12.5°C | 7/ 16 | Cool |
| 2016 | 17.8°C | 2/ 16 | Excellent |
| 2017 | 11.9°C | 9/ 16 | Cold & Rainy |
| 2018 | 18.5°C | 1/ 16 | Record Warm |
| 2019 | 15.4°C | 5/ 16 | Good |
| 2022 | 14.8°C | 6/ 16 | Mixed |
| 2023 | 19.2°C | 2/ 16 | Record Warm |
| 2024 | 14.5°C | 7/ 16 | Cool |
| 2025 | 15°C | 5/ 16 | Good |
Packing Recommendations
Layers Are Key
Temperatures can swing 10°C between sunny afternoons and cool evenings. Bring a warm sweater or light jacket you can tie around your waist.
Rain Gear
A compact umbrella or light rain jacket is essential - there is a 30-45% chance of rain on any given day. Waterproof shoes recommended.
Sun Protection
September sun can still be strong, especially in beer gardens. Sunglasses and SPF 30+ sunscreen are wise, particularly for the first week.
Evening Warmth
After sunset, temperatures drop quickly. A scarf or hat for late nights makes the walk back much more comfortable.
Sources & Methodology
Weather data: DWD (Deutscher Wetterdienst) Munich weather station historical records. Averages calculated from Oktoberfest period data (mid-September to early October) over 15 years. Individual year data from official DWD daily observations. 2026 dates: September 19 - October 4.